While the price of Mexican oil could reach $90, the government assures that the price of gasoline will remain stable despite international tensions, but public finances could come under pressure.Breaking News, Economy, International, Claudia Sheinbaum, mexican economy, gasoline Mexico, public finances, oil market, mexican oil, barrel price, price stability, oil taxes, geopolitical tensions, AFE PACKAGE, newsWhile the price of Mexican oil could reach $90, the government assures that the price of gasoline will remain stable despite international tensions, but...
The Mexican oil market is going through a period of turbulence as experts anticipate a possible rise in the price of a barrel of up to $90. This perspective comes in an international context marked by geopolitical tensions, notably the conflict in Iran, which could destabilize global energy markets.
Faced with these uncertainties, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum wanted to reassure the population this Monday, March 9, 2026. She affirmed that the price of gasoline would not increase in Mexico thanks to a tax mechanism put in place by her predecessor Andrés Manuel López Obrador. This system allows taxes to be adjusted to compensate for fluctuations in international prices.
The mechanism in question is based on the adjustment of the IEPS (Impuesto Especial sobre Producción y Servicios), a special tax that can be reduced when oil prices increase on world markets. This approach aims to protect Mexican consumers from oil shocks while maintaining a certain economic stability.
However, this price stabilization policy could put significant pressure on Mexican public finances. Economic experts point out that falling oil-related tax revenues, combined with sustained public spending, could create a difficult-to-fill budget deficit in the coming months.
The situation is particularly delicate because Mexico still largely depends on oil revenues to finance its social programs and infrastructure. A prolonged drop in revenue could call into question certain development projects while increasing public debt.
Analysts closely follow the evolution of the price of “mezcla mexicana”, the mixture of crude oil produced in Mexico. Its valuation on international markets directly influences the economic health of the country, as well as its ability to maintain stable prices for refined petroleum products.
In this context, political decisions on energy and taxation will be decisive for Mexican economic balance. The government will have to find a compromise between protecting consumers and preserving public finances, a complex balancing act in a volatile international environment.
The stability of energy prices in Mexico therefore represents a major issue that goes beyond the simple economic framework. It affects the purchasing power of citizens, the competitiveness of businesses and the credibility of public institutions in the face of global energy challenges.
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